Coindesk Logo

Inflation Takes Over From COVID as Biggest Market Risk: Bank of America

Inflation Takes Over From COVID as Biggest Market Risk: Bank of America

Inflation Takes Over From COVID as Biggest Market Risk: Bank of America

Betting on a bitcoin rally remains one of the hottest trades.

Betting on a bitcoin rally remains one of the hottest trades.

Betting on a bitcoin rally remains one of the hottest trades.

AccessTimeIconMar 16, 2021, 1:07 PM
Updated Aug 19, 2021, 8:04 AM

Presented By Icon

Election 2024 coverage presented by

Stand with crypto

In a sign of just how dramatically the coronavirus vaccine has altered the market calculus on Wall Street, the fear of soaring inflation has displaced the pandemic as fund managers’ biggest worry, according to the latest monthly survey by Bank of America. 

And betting on a bitcoin rally remains one of the hottest trades.

According to the survey, higher-than-expected inflation is now seen as the biggest “tail risk” – an event that’s seen as statistically unlikely but with potentially dramatic consequences. The coronavirus slipped from the No. 1 concern for the first time since February 2020. 

"This implies that global fund managers think vaccination will finally lead us to re-opening and that the extremely loose monetary policy in times of economic recovery is not without risk," Jeroen Blokland, portfolio manager for the Robeco Multi-Asset funds, noted in a daily analysis. 

Concerns about rising inflation could boost hedging demand for the store of value assets such as bitcoin and gold, although recently investors have started to wonder whether the Federal Reserve might unwind stimulus as the economy reheats. That might set up the cryptocurrency’s price for a fall because the 12-year-old digital asset is still seen as a risky investment, similar to stocks. 

However, the survey shows "long bitcoin," or a bullish bet on the cryptocurrency, is the second-most crowded trade in the financial market. A crowded trade is one that is extremely popular, but also so widely held that a market pullback could trigger a violent unwind as traders scramble to exit positions.

Fund managers saw "long tech" as the the most-crowded trade for the second-straight month, while betting against the U.S. dollar was the fourth-most crowded.

Disclosure

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information have been updated.

CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk has adopted a set of principles aimed at ensuring the integrity, editorial independence and freedom from bias of its publications. CoinDesk is part of the Bullish group, which owns and invests in digital asset businesses and digital assets. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive Bullish group equity-based compensation. Bullish was incubated by technology investor Block.one.


Learn more about Consensus 2024, CoinDesk's longest-running and most influential event that brings together all sides of crypto, blockchain and Web3. Head to consensus.coindesk.com to register and buy your pass now.